<table><tr><th>From:</th><th>Joichi Ito</th></tr><tr><td>Sent:</td><td>Thursday, February 19, 2015 2:39 AM</td></tr><tr><td>To:</td><td>Barnaby Marsh</td></tr><tr><td>Cc:</td><td>Jeffrey Epstein</td></tr><tr><td>Subject:</td><td>Re: "Genius" finding</td></tr></table>

Yes...

BTW, I am going to recruit, possibly, Cynthia Greenleaf, Jonathan =anton's wife, to help. Jonathan is now the president of the American =cademy and Cynthia was Associate Provost at U of C and until recently =n executive search person in academia. They have experience with the =acarthur Fellows and have access to all of the stuff flowing through =he American Academy... So I am definitely tapping into that pipe.

I'm also going to FOO and Sci FOO this year and will be very =ystematic about it. I'll use some sort of algorithm on the attendees =o figure out who to meet.

We're also doing two faculty searches and now am screening all of the =ncoming applications and nominations.

- Joi

<table><tr><th>&gt; On Feb 18, 2015, at 9:34 PM, Barnaby Marsh &gt;=rote:
&gt;</th></tr><tr><td>&gt; Yes, exactly - this is how it is at Harvard too, but very soon people
&gt;=now who the top minds are, and which are impostors - word spreads,
&gt; and hose with the good minds get invited to lunches, talks, the
&gt; american =cademy, etc. there must be some way to crack this...
&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt; On 2/18/15, 9:27 PM, "Joichi Ito" &gt; wrote:
&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt; I think the brute force way of getting the interesting
&gt;&gt; ³attractors²-labs like George's to give us a list of the people who
&gt;&gt; they think would it this model.
&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt; The problem is, and I'm working on this at MIT, most researchers =nd
&gt;&gt; post docs are sort of ³ undocumented immigrants² that we don't
&gt;&gt;=ormally tracks</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt; - Joi</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; On Feb 18, 2015, at 9:23 PM, Barnaby Marsh &gt;=rote:
&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; On the right track-like the bayesian method. I think that the
&gt;&gt;&gt; environment matters a lot too- the people that we look for aggregate
&gt;&gt;&gt;=n places like Cambridge, where they can be with others who they can
&gt;&gt;&gt; resonate with. My guess is that many times they might not have
&gt;&gt;&gt;=ormal positions, but are visitors to labs, research groups, etc. Is
&gt;&gt;&gt; there =ny way to get lists of such people???
&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr></table>

<table><tr><th>&gt;&gt;&gt; From: Joichi Ito&lt;</th></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; Date: Saturday, February 14, 2015 at 8:10 AM</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; To: B Marsh &lt; &gt;, Jeffrey Epstein</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; &lt;jeevacation@gmail.com&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; Subject: Fwd: "Genius" finding</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; Sent from my iPhone</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt; Begin forwarded message:</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; From: Scott Page &lt;|</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Date: February 14, 2015 at 07:16:47 EST</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; To: Joichi Ito</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Subject: "Genius" finding</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Joi,</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; I've been thinking about your question of how to identify amazing</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; people.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Here are several thoughts that don't necessarily cohere.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; I think your approach has to depend partly on the goal. The</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;=lgorithm I would construct to find the next great artist would</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; differ from ne to find a teacher, mathematician, cancer</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; researcher, brain =cientist, etc... If you're totally wide open as</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; to subject area, then it seems to me you want to cast a wide net.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; I would be tempted to try the Bayesian Truth Serum and ask</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; =omething like Pick a really smart friend, who would that person</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; say should win a genius award.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Rather than try to identify people, you might instead seek out</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; papers/projects/programs/ideas and then identify the person after</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; =he fact.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; You might want to consider asking people for the "coolest thing</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;=hey know that's NOT on the web (yet)</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; So much filtering and assessment already goes on that most programs</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; free ride on that -- giving award to people who have already won</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; awards. This suggests that one place to look is at the "losers"-</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; contact MacArthur, NIH, NSF, DARPA, GOOGLE, and ask who do you</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;=egret not funding?</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Once you've got a long list of possibilities you have many options.</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; Here are some you may not have considered</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; You could also pay people on mechanical turk to write up little</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt; blurbs on each one and then seed them on Facebook, Twitter, etc..</td></tr><tr><td>&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;=nd then only look at the ones that get retweeted.</td></tr></table>

>>>>    You could use Matt Salganik's pairwise comparison website.
>>>>
>>>> hope this helps. Happy to think more.
>>>>
>>>> scotte
>>>>
>>>> --
>>>> Scott E Page
>>>> University of Michigan-Ann Arbor
>>>> Santa Fe Institute
>>
>

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