The document discusses the potential outcomes of the UK's EU referendum scheduled for June 23, 2016, predicting a narrow vote to remain in the EU. It analyzes recent opinion polls, the EU agreement offered to the UK, and compares it to Prime Minister Cameron's initial demands. The document includes a table of historical referendum results and a figure showing the relationship between European growth and the likelihood of an 'In' vote.
documents/vol00010-efta01459727-pdf.pdf
{"title":"Focus Europe: Dark clouds, no storm yet","key_people":["Mr. Tusk","Mr. Cameron"],"document_date":"2016-02-05","document_type":"tabular","key_locations":["UK","EU"],"document_subtype":"report","key_organizations":["EU","YouGov","Deutsche Bank","Markit","Haver Analytics"],"reference_numbers":["DB-SDNY-0120376","SDNY_GM_00266560","EFTA01459727"]}